[ESPN] Teams most likely to win the BCS Title

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BAMF cowboy

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Aug 10, 2007
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#1
When the NCAA basketball championship tips off tonight, it'll be fun to see whether preseason favorite North Carolina can overwhelm local favorite Michigan State. It's uncommon, I think, to have the favorite make it through the season and win it all. This week's Top 10 topic: teams with the best shot of winning the BCS title:

1. Florida: No shock here. And there are some parallels with the UNC hoops squad. You've no doubt heard comparisons between both teams' stars, Tim Tebow and Tyler Hansbrough. Both will go down as among the greatest players in college sports. Tebow may leave Gainesville as the greatest college football player ever. Each also has been dogged by skepticism about their pro prospects and backlash about the media's love for each. But UF is much more than just Tebow. The defense is loaded, and star LB Brandon Spikes is back, too. Other reasons to like UF to win it all: The next-best team in the SEC East, Georgia, has to replace its two best players, QB Matthew Stafford and RB Knowshon Moreno; UF's nonconference slate is very manageable, with the only top-50 caliber foe being FSU (and that game is in Gainesville). The biggest hurdle in the regular season is a trip to LSU.

2. Texas: Who cares if Colt McCoy didn't put up great numbers in UT's spring game? McCoy's numbers were ridiculous in 2008, and he has plenty of weapons back to do just as much damage this year. The Horns did lose a lot of talent on the D-line, but the secondary, which was so young in 2008, should be much improved this fall. More positives: The O-line should be solid. The nonconference slate is cake. Karma should be on Texas' side after last season, no? UT has two big hurdles in the regular season: against Oklahoma and at OSU.

3. Oklahoma: Having Sam Bradford and DT Gerald McCoy back probably kept the Sooners in everyone's preseason top 5. The Sooners do have a lot to replace on the O-line, though, and the defense needs more work in the back seven. Getting OSU in Norman is a big plus. The nonconference schedule is a bit tricky -- OU plays BYU in Texas and Miami in Miami -- but the Sooners figure to be favored in both.

4. Ole Miss: This may look crazy, but keep reading. The Rebels are fearless. They won at both Florida and LSU last season. They have a budding star at quarterback in Jevan Snead, some terrific receivers, and potentially the best D-line in the country. They also have the luxury of playing the softest nonconference schedule in the country, with two games against FCS teams, UAB and a Memphis team they beat every year. Better still, they get Alabama and LSU at home. Can the Rebs handle success and expectations now? We'll see. A Thursday night trip to South Carolina appears to be the toughest road game.

5. USC: I'm not that leery of the Trojans' having to replace QB Mark Sanchez. Inside the program, there has been a good buzz around Aaron Corp for months. The young O-line will be a lot better, and WR Damian Williams is a rising star. Defensively, there are concerns in the front seven, which is almost entirely new. Consistency will be an issue. USC's trip to Ohio State early will be fascinating, although the Buckeyes also have major holes they need to address. The big reason why I have the Trojans a few spots lower on this list is that their schedule doesn't fall well in the Pac-10. They have to go to Cal and Oregon -- not to mention visit South Bend to play what should be an improved Irish team, although we said that last year, too. Still, that's four challenging road games for what will still be a very young team.

6. Va. Tech: I'm always a bit worried about Tech whenever it has big expectations put on it going into a season. The Hokies tend to be most dangerous when people don't hype them up. But I still like QB Tyrod Taylor and their running game, and provided they can get their special teams back to form after a shockingly mediocre stretch last season, they deserve to be watched very closely in 2009. Playing Alabama early is tough, although the Tide has to rebuild its O-line and find a new starting quarterback. I also like that Tech gets Miami, UNC and Nebraska at Lane Stadium.

7. Boise State: The youngest good team in the country last season should be even better with another year of seasoning. The Broncos get a good crack at getting people on the bandwagon in a Thursday night home opener against a very potent Oregon team. Last season, BSU won at Autzen behind freshman QB Kellen Moore. I think they have a legit shot to beat the Ducks again, especially since Oregon has to replace a lot of good players on D. After that, it's all downhill to a perfect regular season, although going to Tulsa in mid-October won't be so easy.

8. LSU: The Tigers still have a ton of talent and rode a dominant bowl performance into the offseason, and that should take some concerns away from the quarterback questions that dogged them all of 2008. Even though their out-of-conference schedule is suspect, the Tigers' SEC slate doesn't fall too favorably: at Georgia, followed by a visit from Florida; later they have to go to Tuscaloosa and to Oxford.

9. Oklahoma State: I love the Cowboys' offense, and I think bringing in Bill Young to run the defense was a great move, but OSU has to go to Norman late and gets a visit from Georgia early. Also, playing Houston in Week 2 right after a big, physical Bulldogs team might be more treacherous than people think.

10. Notre Dame: Charlie Brown kept thinking he could kick those field goals, and we'll give Charlie Weis one last shot to make contact here. The Irish have very good receivers, and if they can get a lot better on the O-line, they should put up a ton of points. The defense shouldn't be awful any more. Better still, they will be facing one of the softest schedules of any team in the country, especially one that doesn't need to worry about surviving a conference title game at the end of it all. Yes, ND has to face USC, but it's in South Bend. After that, a late visit to Stanford is probably the next toughest game. ND also plays the two teams that were the worst BCS conference programs last year, Washington and Washington State.

Just missed the cut: Oregon, TCU, Penn State, Alabama and Ohio State.
Discuss.
 

Rob B.

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9. Oklahoma State: I love the Cowboys' offense, and I think bringing in Bill Young to run the defense was a great move, but OSU has to go to Norman late and gets a visit from Georgia early. Also, playing Houston in Week 2 right after a big, physical Bulldogs team might be more treacherous than people think.

I keep telling people Houston is a huge bear trap of a game.
 

OSUfreak82

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I agree with the Houston game. I freakin HATE trap games. But I just hope after how hard these kids have been working... they KNOW what is at stake!! Im sure they will be up for EVERY game this year.

Also BAMF... Im freakin pissed you posted this. Cause now im FU*%ING amp'd for some OSU football!
 
May 2, 2007
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Its nice to be mentioned, but we still looking up at two teams in the south in that list.

I dont care what the SEC says the big 12 south is the most difficult division in college football
 

snuffy

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9. Oklahoma State: I love the Cowboys' offense, and I think bringing in Bill Young to run the defense was a great move, but OSU has to go to Norman late and gets a visit from Georgia early. Also, playing Houston in Week 2 right after a big, physical Bulldogs team might be more treacherous than people think.

I keep telling people Houston is a huge bear trap of a game.
This reminds me of the Troy game two years ago, but lets hope for a better result this time.
 

GodsPeace

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This reminds me of the Troy game two years ago, but lets hope for a better result this time.
One big difference last year was the team showed up to play every time out despite the opponent. In the Tech game we got run, but not because of lack of effort and focus. We just got caught where our weaknesses only aided their substantial strengths.

I think our guys will be ready to play whomever. That doesn't equate to victory by itself, but I doubt there will be a lack of focus for these guys.
 
#12
9. Oklahoma State: I love the Cowboys' offense, and I think bringing in Bill Young to run the defense was a great move, but OSU has to go to Norman late and gets a visit from Georgia early. Also, playing Houston in Week 2 right after a big, physical Bulldogs team might be more treacherous than people think.

I keep telling people Houston is a huge bear trap of a game.
Depends on the outcome, if you guys lose the game to us, then Houston is going to get torn apart.

If you win the game, I could definitely see OSU sleepwalking into Houston. It could be a really big win for those players and Zac, Dez and your other seniors will need to really be able to keep the guys that get big heads in line. It will happen if you guys win.

I don't really agree with or like this list, there are a few teams on it that shouldn't be. ND?!? Va Tech? Boise?!? Who is he kidding? And TCU and Oregon on the cusp? Oregon has a new coach this year. Sure he is the old OC and the old HC is now the AD so it should be a smooth transitition, but it is still a first year HC. Does anyone know the last time a first year HC won a NC? Has it ever happened?

OSU, for the record, does belong on this list. If you guys beat UGA, UT, and OU or really just two of the three, then barring two other teams with better records in BCS conferences, OSU should be in the title game.*


*Comes with the caveat of winning the Big12 as per the rule the pollsters made up in 2007 after realizing they logically had to put a team that didn't win its conference in the NC game and frantically had to slap some BS reason together to justify not doing it after having already done it in 2000('01?).
 

JoeHero

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It's nice getting the preseason pub, but we don't wanna turn into Mizzou's team last year. Schedule is brutal, but lucky to have most tough games at home. Have got to start winning games against the big 2 to continue getting this kind of attention. And it's gonna start in 2009 :D
 

okstateguy987

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I don't get why people think Houston is such a "scary" game. We had no problem with them last year. None whatsoever. Our offense should be about the same, and our defense can't get any worse. It's a home game. Get real.
 

okstateguy987

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We were losing at half. I wouldn't say we had 'no problem.'
At the half:

OSU - 14
UH - 16

At the end:

OSU - 56
UH - 37

You seriously thought we were in trouble? They stayed up with us for about a half, but, just like most other small conference teams, they didn't have the depth to outlast us. This was also right after another "big win" for us. We won a big road game in Seattle.
 
Mar 12, 2007
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I don't really agree with or like this list, there are a few teams on it that shouldn't be. ND?!? Va Tech? Boise?!? Who is he kidding? And TCU and Oregon on the cusp? Oregon has a new coach this year. Sure he is the old OC and the old HC is now the AD so it should be a smooth transitition, but it is still a first year HC. Does anyone know the last time a first year HC won a NC? Has it ever happened?

It's nice to be mentioned on this list, but I have to say I don't really like it either.
 
Jun 4, 2007
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At the half:

OSU - 14
UH - 16

At the end:

OSU - 56
UH - 37



You seriously thought we were in trouble? They stayed up with us for about a half, but, just like most other small conference teams, they didn't have the depth to outlast us. This was also right after another "big win" for us. We won a big road game in Seattle.

Case Keenum had my pucker factor at about 9.75 in the first half though. I thought they got away from him being so mobile in the 2nd half. I think they had the half lead and thought they could finish us off with pure pocket passing (ala Tech). Thankfully things worked out for the good guys.